Research and analysis
Element Energy projections on current and future van specifications in the UK, 2010-2030
Updated 8 March 2012
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| DfT Low Carbon Vans Study | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2010 | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV |
| Not set | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up |
| Range in EV mode (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
| Battery capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 22 | 48 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 25 | 28 | 27 |
| Kerbweight (kg) | 1,132 | 1,345 | 1,748 | 2,177 | 1,927 | 1,145 | 1,364 | 1,774 | 2,206 | 1,955 | 1,195 | 1,434 | 1,869 | 2,313 | 2,059 | 1,261 | 1,524 | 1,993 | 2,452 | 2,195 | 1,288 | 1,562 | 2,230 | 2,717 | 2,454 | 1,146 | 1,365 | 1,775 | 2,206 | 1,956 | 1,267 | 1,529 | 1,998 | 2,456 | 2,200 |
| H2 range (km) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 |
| Hydrogen storage capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 115 | 158 | 214 | 240 | 234 | 119 | 161 | 218 | 244 | 239 |
| ICE motor size (kW) | 53 | 65 | 64 | 86 | 116 | 37 | 46 | 45 | 60 | 81 | 37 | 46 | 45 | 60 | 81 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 39 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Electric Motor Size (kW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 39 | 38 | 52 | 70 | 32 | 39 | 38 | 52 | 70 | 53 | 65 | 64 | 86 | 116 | 53 | 65 | 64 | 86 | 116 | 53 | 65 | 64 | 86 | 116 | 53 | 65 | 64 | 86 | 116 |
| NEDC (gCO?/km) | 108 | 150 | 204 | 230 | 224 | 97 | 135 | 184 | 207 | 201 | 57 | 79 | 107 | 121 | 118 | 28 | 40 | 54 | 61 | 59 | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| 2020 | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV |
| Not set | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up |
| Range in EV mode (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 130 | 130 | 180 | 180 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
| Battery capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 30 | 51 | 58 | 56 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| Kerbweight (kg) | 1,019 | 1,211 | 1,574 | 1,959 | 1,734 | 1,028 | 1,224 | 1,591 | 1,979 | 1,754 | 1,062 | 1,271 | 1,656 | 2,052 | 1,825 | 1,106 | 1,333 | 1,740 | 2,147 | 1,917 | 1,156 | 1,404 | 1,942 | 2,373 | 2,138 | 1,028 | 1,224 | 1,591 | 1,979 | 1,754 | 1,108 | 1,334 | 1,742 | 2,148 | 1,919 |
| H2 range (km) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| Hydrogen storage capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 114 | 159 | 216 | 244 | 237 | 116 | 162 | 220 | 247 | 240 |
| ICE motor size (kW) | 47 | 59 | 57 | 77 | 105 | 33 | 41 | 40 | 54 | 73 | 33 | 41 | 40 | 54 | 73 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 35 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Electric Motor Size (kW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 35 | 34 | 46 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 34 | 46 | 63 | 47 | 59 | 57 | 77 | 105 | 47 | 59 | 57 | 77 | 105 | 47 | 59 | 57 | 77 | 105 | 47 | 59 | 57 | 77 | 105 |
| NEDC (gCO?/km) | 92 | 129 | 176 | 198 | 192 | 81 | 114 | 156 | 176 | 171 | 37 | 52 | 71 | 80 | 78 | 24 | 34 | 46 | 52 | 50 | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| 2025 | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV |
| Not set | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up |
| Range in EV mode (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 160 | 180 | 225 | 225 | 225 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
| Battery capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 34 | 58 | 65 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| Kerbweight (kg) | 962 | 1,143 | 1,486 | 1,850 | 1,638 | 969 | 1,154 | 1,501 | 1,867 | 1,654 | 997 | 1,192 | 1,553 | 1,926 | 1,711 | 1,032 | 1,242 | 1,621 | 2,002 | 1,786 | 1,099 | 1,361 | 1,861 | 2,271 | 2,048 | 969 | 1,154 | 1,501 | 1,867 | 1,654 | 1,032 | 1,242 | 1,621 | 2,002 | 1,786 |
| H2 range (km) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| Hydrogen storage capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 104 | 147 | 201 | 227 | 220 | 105 | 149 | 203 | 229 | 223 |
| ICE motor size (kW) | 45 | 55 | 54 | 73 | 99 | 31 | 39 | 38 | 51 | 69 | 31 | 39 | 38 | 51 | 69 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 33 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Electric Motor Size (kW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 44 | 59 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 44 | 59 | 45 | 55 | 54 | 73 | 99 | 45 | 55 | 54 | 73 | 99 | 45 | 55 | 54 | 73 | 99 | 45 | 55 | 54 | 73 | 99 |
| NEDC (gCO?/km) | 84 | 119 | 162 | 183 | 177 | 74 | 105 | 143 | 161 | 156 | 34 | 48 | 65 | 73 | 71 | 22 | 31 | 42 | 47 | 46 | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| 2030 | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | ICE | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | Hybrid | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | PHEV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | RE EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | EV | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 vehicle | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV | H2 RE-EV |
| Not set | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up | Small-car derived | Small panel van | Standard panel van | Large panel van | Pick-up |
| Range in EV mode (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 200 | 200 | 250 | 250 | 250 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 |
| Battery capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 27 | 38 | 64 | 72 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| Kerbweight (kg) | 905 | 1,076 | 1,399 | 1,741 | 1,542 | 911 | 1,085 | 1,411 | 1,755 | 1,555 | 934 | 1,116 | 1,454 | 1,804 | 1,602 | 962 | 1,157 | 1,509 | 1,866 | 1,663 | 1,045 | 1,274 | 1,740 | 2,124 | 1,915 | 911 | 1,085 | 1,411 | 1,755 | 1,555 | 962 | 1,157 | 1,509 | 1,866 | 1,663 |
| H2 range (km) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| Hydrogen storage capacity (kWh) | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | 96 | 137 | 187 | 211 | 205 | 97 | 138 | 189 | 213 | 207 |
| ICE motor size (kW) | 42 | 52 | 51 | 69 | 93 | 30 | 37 | 36 | 48 | 65 | 30 | 37 | 36 | 48 | 65 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 31 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Electric Motor Size (kW) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 31 | 31 | 41 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 31 | 41 | 56 | 42 | 52 | 51 | 69 | 93 | 42 | 52 | 51 | 69 | 93 | 42 | 52 | 51 | 69 | 93 | 42 | 52 | 51 | 69 | 93 |
| NEDC (gCO?/km) | 76 | 109 | 148 | 167 | 162 | 67 | 95 | 130 | 146 | 142 | 30 | 43 | 59 | 67 | 65 | 20 | 28 | 38 | 43 | 42 | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |