KnowledgeAuditGOS & DCMSundertook anevidence deepdive & furtherdesk researchExpert 7Q Interviews &SurveysIncluding CSAs, academic,public & private sector expertsDriver MappingSynthesis of evidencegathered into a long-list ofpolitical, economic, societal,technological, legislative &environmental drivers shapingthe future policy environmentExpert Workshop 1:Identifying Key Drivers &Critical UncertaintiesScoring of drivers to identify thosemost important & uncertain.Clustering key drivers to identifycritical uncertainties & developingaxes of uncertaintyRationalising Key Axesof UncertaintyProcess of elimination (top-down) & impact mapping(bottom-up) approaches used todraw out the most plausible &interesting axes of uncertaintypairings from which to buildscenariosScenario DevelopmentBuilding of scenarios andunderpinning with assumptionsbased on key drivers & expertdescriptions of axes ofuncertainty developed inWorkshop 1Expert Workshop 2: ChallengingAssumptions & Adding Richnessto ScenariosParticipants provided vital challenge &insights into how public services may bedelivered & used in the four worlds. SWOTanalysis of scenarios to establish assumptions& elucidate scenario parametersQuantitative Modelling‘Light touch’ Excel-based modeldeveloped & applied to a diverserange of public sector use cases,illustrating the breadth ofpotential wireless connectivityapplication. Provided insight intopublic sector uptake, usage &data demand across thescenarios (not an assessment ofservice quality or total demand)Internal & ExternalChallengeReview of scenario narratives,assumptions & quantitativemodelling by stakeholders withpublic sector specific expertiseApplication to strategy& policyTools/guidance developed toenable policy-makers to applyscenarios in policy & strategydevelopment. Workshop heldwith DCMS to identifyimplications for & stress-testaspects of the WirelessInfrastructure StrategyUnmetPromisesSeamlessCitizenUs & ThemSlowProgressDemand Estimate (Tbits/s)Slow ProgressUnmet PromisesWHAT is happening?WHAT could happen?SO WHAT for public service delivery?NOW WHAT for strategy?